Ultimately, I have no choice but to penalize Smith, though whatever I decide to go with (a 15% reduction, a 25% reduction?) He'd be a good candidate to send to Deebo. Quarterbacks with Accuracy Ratings above 6.0 are considered highly accurate, and those below 4.0 are considered highly inaccurate. It's always interesting to dig into the SPARQ scores Unlike with Harris and Waddle, this was not because of a pre-existing injury, this was by choice. Kyle Pitts. And in neither instance were those career-high marks. Atwell ranked 8th in my Pre-Combine model, but I was certain hed fall during this phase of the process. Its a piece of the puzzle. Smith still ranks quite high by projected draft capital (WR3, Round 1), so the NFL doesnt seem to be as concerned with Smiths athleticism as they (presumably) were with Tyler Johnsons. And Smith surely does not have Jacksons 4.35 wheels. Terms of Use https://www.playerprofiler.com/terms-of-use/, The Catch Radius Project: In Search of Better TD Production, introduction to the predictive qualities of air yards on RotoViz.com, https://www.playerprofiler.com/terms-of-use/. What do you guys think about Brian Burns? SPARQ does a great job of analyzing overall athleticism, but I showed how little it means for projecting NFL success here. Watch live streaming. Mac Jones averaged 1.1 rushing FPG in 2020. And had he run, its possible Harris might look like an even better prospect than the one he already is (4th-best since 2015, per my Pre-Combine model). His placement in mocks goes from top ten to second round. Both Matt Ryan and Giovanni Carmazza scored a 32. Since 1995, the only sub-180-pound RB to hit triple-digit fantasy points in a single season is Dexter McCluster, who accomplished this feat only once. Every players on-field performance is affected by his teammates. Lifetime Value The featured player valuation metric on Dynasty Dominator mobile app, RotoUnderworld's Lifetime Value approximates a player's fantasy points scoring potential above replacement for the remainder of their career. Weighted Opportunities surfaced by Scott Barrett in his work for Pro Football Focus, this metric calibrates total opportunities by discounting carries and enhancing the value of targets based on the average fantasy points generated by each type of touch. Individuals with high BMIs tend to be built more like a bowling ball, an ideal stature for an NFL running back. However, hes 22.8 years old and never ranked higher than 4th on the team in receiving yards prior to last season, McMath was a one-year starter for LSU, understandably buried in the depth chart behind some elite WRs. Weekly Volatility measures the level of week-to-week fantasy point scoring variance. This total Lifetime Value is also discounted based on the age-based production curve outlined in the Dynasty Dominator Guide enhancing the value the most precocious players such as Saquon Barkley and JuJu Smith-Schuster. Chase (3.99) is one of only 39 WRs to post a short shuttle time under 4.00. This post was edited by footballcorner 4 years ago. He, alongside a few other of the industrys best talent evaluators and NFL Draft prognosticators, played a key role in helping me calculate an important but ultimately minor variable in this phase of the process expected draft capital. Opportunity Share percentage of total team running back carries + targets for a particular back. Production Premium also takes into account time remaining and game score to account for non-standard situations such as 2-minute drills, clock-milking, and garbage time. But he does have projected draft capital on his side (Dane Brugler is projecting Round 2 or Round 3). No guarantees are made for any specific outcome. Deep Balls charts the total number of passing attempts that travel 20 yards or farther in the air. Where did these players rank in Phase I of my model (something akin to a composite production and efficiency score)? Well answer each of those questions in todays article. Elijah Mitchell and Travis Etienne both posted a broad jump of 128, which ranks 22nd-best since 2000. Value Over Stream (VOS) The VOS metric calculates eachplayers fantasy points per game above the average waiver wire replacement in standard fantasy league formats during either the current or previousseason, depending on the time of year. Jacob Harris ranks 7th-best in SPORQ score since 2000 (98.1), behind only Vernon Davis, Kyle Pitts, Rob Housler, Jimmy Graham, Noah Fant, and Evan Engram. I urge you to review my Pre-Combine rankings and analysis, which you can read here. to get him working on his body - if relations weren't so strained Burns feels like the wild card for our first rounder. Williams (0.4 years older than Schwartz) averaged 64.3 YPG through three seasons at Auburn, compared to Schwartzs 43.4 YPG. [1] In the past years over 44,000 athletes have been assessed and received SPARQ ratings.[4]. For RBs, we add a BMI premium. The formulas for Adjusted SPARQ change by position -- and sometimes even within positions (RB, WR) -- to put the proper weight on the athletic traits that have historically been better at predicting success in the NFL. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. 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Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. Hes now my TE5, within the same tier as Jordan. At 58, the numbers dont look much better either, with Cole Beasley being the most productive fantasy WR from that grouping. The average NFL player is pretty athletic, so this designation is not at all a poor result. The metric is calculated by dividing total fantasy points by the combined total of a running backs carries and targets. Athleticism isnt super important for QBs outside of what it means for their Konami Code-potential, but that can be a massive factor. Chris Evans (ADP: RB18) wasnt too far behind (88.6), and Jake Funk ranked right behind Evans (83.8). Pooka Williams (ADP: RB16) posted a 13.9 SPORQ score. Speed Score Bill Barnwell first posited the metric in Pro Football Prospectus to better predict running back success. Safety. Hell be a top-7 pick Kenneth Additionally, the metric is calibrated to give Vertical Jump and Broad Jump equal weight. Because of this positive correlation over a large sample size between hand size and productivity, hand size is a relevant, predictive attribute for quarterbacks. Juke Rate isolates a running backs elusiveness and tackle-breaking power by charting the number of broken, missed, and otherwise avoided tackles (displayed to the immediate left), and then dividing by the total number of touches (carries + receptions). Age is calculated for each player as of September 2020. Note that the NFL% and z-score columns refer to the NFL positional averages and not to the draft positional averages. He ranks behind Robert Griffin III (126.9) and Michael Vick (119.5), and just ahead of Cam Newton (114.72) and Vince Young (113.7). His 10-yard split saved what wouldve been an even lower score. By raw 40-yard-dash, he ranks behind only Griffin (4.33), Michael Vick (4.33), and Reggie McNeal (4.40). This youth factor is then balanced by a premium on projected near-term production (i.e. to get him working on his body - if relations weren't so strained Good stuff Chowder. If weight-adjusted, he ranks 2nd-best among TEs since 2000. The tests were designed to test the skills and athleticism demanded by each sport. Good call here. After an elite showing at his Pro Day, recording a class-high 98.0 SPORQ score, I like Chase even more now, and I didnt even think that could be possible. The scouts are on to him and I believe he had great workout numbers. Amon-Ra St. Brown (ADP: WR8) posted a 39.2 SPORQ score. This number measures a players short area quickness and balance and correlates with an ability to avoid tackles and compile yards before contact. Funk probably doesnt get drafted, but Evans and (then) Nwangwu are expected to see their names called on Day 3. Players with one or the other (with production mattering more than athleticism) were somewhere in between. You can view more current content marked with a FREE banner, Hes got some special pass-rushing traits. Thats also a major red flag. Theres the Big 3, consisting of Harris, Etienne, and Williams. Jaelon Darden (ADP: WR19) posted a 18.3 SPORQ score. The predictive power of air yards were first discussed by Josh Hermsmeyer in his introduction to the predictive qualities of air yards on RotoViz.com and his AirYards.com property. Both players went undrafted. I really don't understand why everyone keeps putting Hollins as an off-ball LB. The position requires in-depth knowledge and instincts, which isnt measured publicly in Indy. Kadarius Toney (ADP: WR10) was one of the prospects my Pre-Combine model struggled with the most. Wex might be right. He ended that season totaling 568 yards from scrimmage and seven total touchdowns, which compared favorably to fourth-year junior Darius Slaytons 670 yards and five touchdowns. How to read this: Jabari Zuniga is a 90th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete.. Is that why hes now expected to be drafted on Day 2? Their time is measured in seconds and transferred into SPARQ Points. Helus snap share was not significantly less than Morris, but Washington gave the majority of opportunities to Morris, while Helu was asked to do a lot of blitz pickup work as opposing defenses relentlessly blitzed Robert Griffin III when Helu was on the field. WebMike Mitchell, a linebacker for Ohio State, Texas Tech, and Southeastern University holds the national record SPARQ Rating. Target Rate Ratio of total targets to total routes run by running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. The Cincinnati Bengals have finally answered at least one part of the question at the running back position by taking Illinois Chase Brown in the fifth round of the 2023 NFL draft. Have you done your own testing and youre curious how you did? Dazz Newsome (ADP: WR22) posted a 28.1 SPORQ score. Elijah Mitchell skyrocketed up my ranking with an elite SPORQ score (94.9). 2023 Post-Draft Market Report: Rookie QBs and TEs, Barrett's 2023 NFL Rookie Dynasty Rankings, 2023 Rookie RB Rankings for Dynasty Fantasy Football, DraftKings XFL Semifinals DFS Tournament Plays, Brett Whitefield's Final 2023 NFL Mock Draft, Scott Barrett's Final 2023 NFL Mock Draft, 2023 Pre-NFL Draft Rookie WR Dynasty Rankings. Going to look into him a bit more, but he played against weak competition. Jaret Patterson (ADP: RB11) posted a 11.1 SPORQ score. The distance in inches is then turned into SPARQ Points to be added to the final score. Dyami Brown (ADP: WR11) posted a 49.5 SPORQ score. Couldn't agree more. Overall, athleticism is still just a small part of a prospects total profile, but I prefer Adjusted SPARQ to other composite athletic scores. Since 2000, only two WRs have recorded a better time at the NFL Combine: Donte Stallworth and John Ross, both at 4.22. Hes old for a prospect (23.4), but his athleticism is undeniable. Blaine Gabbert crushed the Wonderlic with a score of 42, so he has that going for him. SPARQ-x - An approximation of Nikes SPARQ Rating (acronym it stands for: Speed, Power, Agility, Reaction and Quickness), a project started in 2004 to create a standardized test for athleticism similar to an SAT test for athletes. Hes reached at least 50 yards in 20 of his 24 games over this span, and his 3.11 YPRR average in 2020 ranked 6th-best in this class. Athletes in the 20-30 range possess solid functional intelligence. Air Yards for quarterbacks, Air Yards is the total throw depth, and Completed Air Yards is total passing yards minus yards after the catch. Thats where Adjusted SPARQ comes in. Positive values indicate teams are often playing with a lead. Ultimately his small stature and miniature catch radius is a major red flag, but its hard to quantify exactly how damning of a red flag it is. In 5 games in 2020, he caught 14 balls for 195 yards and 1 score. Follow him on Twitter @HaydenWinks. Kadarius Toneys 175.5 ranks 11th-best. Who moved up or down my board the most? Going from his interview to the moody mess that is Jachai Polite really made Burns look so much better. But I kept these numbers the same partly because you can adjust them from here on your own if you so choose. turn into something. Really intrigued by him. Stevenson, who I liked even more than my model did, also fell, but not as far. Hell join a team in 2021, but its unlikely he ever contributes beyond special teams, Strachan is the biggest WR in this class at 65 and 226 lbs but also one of the oldest (23.7). Total Best Ball Points Added aggregates a player's total points scored above this quantified weekly threshold over the course of the season. Now that the San Francisco 49ers have completed the 2017 NFL Draft, lets measure the athleticism of the 49ers new rookies using the pSPARQ scoring system. What is SPARQ? SPARQ is a rating system developed by Nike that is used to measure athleticism. SPARQ is an acronym for speed, power, agility, reaction and quickness. John Bates weight-adjusted 3-Cone ranks 22nd-best since 2000. His 7.26 3-Cone ranks 6th-slowest in this class, and is significantly slower than (for instance) Trey Sermons time (6.84), even though Sermon is 14 pounds heavier. also, how not having that bend can hinder even an athletic freak like Dupree. To assist with site load times, the main page will now only show the 2023 class. Jermar Jefferson (ADP: RB6), my Pre-Combine RB6, posted a 32.2 SPORQ score. Target Separation -A receiver's average yards of separation from his assigned defender at the moment the pass arrives. Thats where Adjusted SPARQ comes in. I like Maxx Crosby as a mid- to late-round prospect. The question is, is that all there is to like with Collins? also, how not having that bend can hinder even an athletic freak like Dupree. He isnt quite as unathletic as the other two, and he has better expected draft capital (RB7, Round 4) than either RB. Hes going to be drafted on Day 3; a team will take a flier on him for his athleticism, but hes a longshot to ever return meaningful fantasy production. Remarkably, Kene Nwangwu actually bested Mitchells mark with a 4.31 40-yard-dash. Frank Darby (ADP: WR26) posted a 29.6 SPORQ score. Players with poor scores by both production and athleticism almost never did anything meaningful for fantasy teams. He's one of the rare outside WRs in this class, with 98% of his career receiving yards coming out wide. From an athletic-standpoint, only Vernon Davis ranks higher by SPORQ (of 375 qualifiers since 2000). This sheet will be updated throughout the draft. WebWide receiver. He ranked 3rd on his team in receiving yards last year, catching 30 balls for 539 yards and 8 scores. Yards Created originated by Graham Barfield on his Fantasy Game Theory blog, his "Introduction to Yards Created"piece defines yards created as all yards generated above and beyond what was blocked. Among TEs, Harris also ranks 2nd-best since 2000 in the broad jump and 6th-best in the vert. Dantzler needs to improve his scores at his Pro Day or hes cancelled. Some famous athletes who recorded SPARQ Ratings are: The SPARQ general athletic assessment test was composed of: The 40-yard dash was the simplest activity; an athlete runs 40 yards down a track, and his/her time is recorded by a trainer or other method. Definitely deserves a closer look. Catch Rate captures a players ability to secure the football in all situations regardless of the level of difficulty by dividing the total receptions by total targets. Catch Radius first discussed by Scott Smith in a piece titled The Catch Radius Project: In Search of Better TD Production, the metric incorporates a players ability to cover ground as well as his ability to get vertical in order to score a players capacity to reaching the football in a 3-dimensional space. After a strong Pro Day showing from Sermon (65.7), we can now view the RBs within two tiers. "Nike SPARQ" was the name used under a marketing relationship between Nike and SPARQ, under which Nike sells a line of cross training footwear, apparel and equipment in the USA.[2]. At the end of the day, Smith dropped a tier in my overall rankings but still ranks as my WR2 in this class. the test is completed, is what is measured. Hand Size data presented by John Bales fromFantasy Labs showed a relationship between hand size and quarterback performance, particularly in cold weather conditions. Chris Evans vert jump of 40.5 ranks 15th-best since 2000. The higher the higher the percentage of completed air yards to total yards, the less a quarterback is being helped by his receivers gaining yards after the catch. Elijah Mitchell ran a 4.33 40-yard-dash at his Pro Day. How to read this: Kyle Duggar is a 99th percentile Adjusted SPARQ athlete.. Like with Freiermuth, Im not going to penalize him, but he did drop in my rankings due to projected draft capital. Elijah Moore (ADP: WR7) has been knocked for his size (59, 178 pounds), and that did hurt him somewhat in my model (falling from 88.4 to 81.6), but he also posted the best 3-Cone (6.67), the 2nd-best short shuttle (4.00), and the 4th-best 40 in this class (4.35), which is exactly what he needed to do to alleviate those concerns. The results from these tests are combined and weighted using a formula specific to football.
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